Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 3.864102 4.126607 4.410325 4.742045 5.122265 5.548237 6.067075
2025-03-02 3.358743 3.684941 4.056122 4.516375 5.081665 5.767613 6.687351
2025-03-09 3.038548 3.406416 3.843036 4.412456 5.157060 6.133223 7.581333
2025-03-16 2.740005 3.120737 3.587069 4.219507 5.089710 6.309126 8.297286
2025-03-23 2.566123 2.970167 3.481422 4.204432 5.257515 6.854480 9.796886
2025-03-30 2.402439 2.817273 3.356427 4.146517 5.356915 7.334474 11.473998
2025-04-06 2.246395 2.661290 3.212058 4.042823 5.370857 7.689577 13.193849
2025-04-13 2.094339 2.499452 3.045577 3.887204 5.277121 7.836650 14.625093
2025-04-20 2.021528 2.439072 3.015124 3.932617 5.528222 8.741485 19.272053
2025-04-27 1.960467 2.390011 2.995901 3.992729 5.820727 9.884169 27.587764
2025-05-04 1.918180 2.363833 3.007317 4.103906 6.239480 11.603112 49.267458
2025-05-11 1.859900 2.310534 2.972783 4.132474 6.503228 13.135423 104.370714
2025-05-18 1.785336 2.234503 2.905568 4.111633 6.698792 14.833389 871.852945
2025-05-25 1.697647 2.134423 2.793606 3.997682 6.661848 15.748213 NaN
2025-06-01 1.633205 2.065671 2.727119 3.961882 6.813277 17.795323 NaN
2025-06-08 1.557511 1.976093 2.620826 3.838442 6.716905 18.630751 NaN
2025-06-15 1.513687 1.932720 2.587501 3.854235 7.002441 22.434255 NaN
2025-06-22 1.465829 1.880579 2.535773 3.827067 7.167166 26.263896 NaN
2025-06-29 1.414105 1.819947 2.465722 3.754416 7.180881 29.236015 NaN
2025-07-06 1.357822 1.749847 2.375556 3.630890 7.008871 29.988669 NaN
2025-07-13 1.333179 1.728278 2.367568 3.681311 7.417519 41.525857 NaN
2025-07-20 1.311680 1.710510 2.364800 3.743011 7.903147 66.003127 NaN
2025-07-27 1.297438 1.703513 2.380440 3.848745 8.623544 174.352525 NaN